Prevention as an investment: analysis of costs and damages from forest fires in Bulgaria (2014–2024)
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Date
2026-05-08
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Plovdiv University "Paisii Hilendarski"
Abstract
In the context of increasing climate change, forest fires present a growing risk to society, the economy, and biodiversity. Comparing funds invested in preventive measures with the damages caused by fires underscores the need for systematic and long-term financing of fire prevention activities. This study analyzes the relationship between investments in forest fire prevention and the damages caused in Bulgaria during 2014–2024. Based on statistical data, institutional reports, and European experience, the study evaluates prevention costs and firerelated losses. The main contribution of this research is the development of an integrated methodological framework for assessing forest fire damage, combining environmental, economic, and social indicators. Results show that prevention is economically justified, with long-term savings significantly exceeding initial investments. The study concludes with recommendations for sustainable financing, improved institutional coordination, and the implementation of a unified national methodology.
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Keywords
forest fires, damage assessment, prevention, sustainable management, fire risk